Weekly fantasy football projections & start/sitStop guessing.
Start winning.
Every Sunday is winnable. Vegas sets the size of the pie, usage decides who eats, and StatSnap turns both into projections you can actually check, then tells you exactly who to start.
$9.99/year after launch· Less than a beer at the bar. For the whole season.
No credit card required · Built by a 10-year fantasy obsessive who got tired of trusting black-box rankings
Team context
His usage
Backtested on four seasons, 2022–2025
Every projection shows its math
We start from the betting market: the spread and total give each team an implied point total, which becomes expected touchdowns. Then each player gets his slice based on how he is actually being used. Click any player to see the numbers behind his projection, or change them if you disagree.
- ✓Vegas implied totals drive team scoring and game script
- ✓Target share, route participation, carry share, and red-zone usage
- ✓Goal-line roles weighted by how often each position actually scores
- ✓Change any assumption and the projection updates instantly
Two receivers, same projection
A projection is an average. Here's the whole range.
A receiver's score swings about six points either way from week to week, even when his role is locked in. So every player gets a realistic range built from how players with the same projection actually scored. Eight in ten weeks land between the floor and the ceiling.
- ✓Floor and ceiling (10th and 90th percentile outcomes)
- ✓Boom and bust odds for every player
- ✓Deep threats get more upside than short-area receivers
- ✓Ranges rescale to your league's scoring
Stuck between two guys? We play the week 10,000 times.
Pick two to four players. We simulate the week using each player's full range of outcomes and tell you who comes out on top, how often, and whether it's a clear call or a coin flip.
- ✓Compare up to four players at once, any position
- ✓Chance each player is the top scorer, plus head-to-head odds
- ✓Clear call, lean, or coin flip, stated plainly
- ✓Players ruled out are flagged: do not start
Lean
Start Garrett Wilson
Garrett Wilson outscores Jakobi Meyers in 61% of simulated weeks.
Example
2 bench players should be starting
Your best lineup projects 114.8 vs 101.2 as set: 13.6 points left on the bench.
Example
Nacua is doubtful (hamstring)
outscores him in 61% of weeks
Is anyone on your bench outscoring a starter?
Connect your Sleeper league once. Lineup Check reads your roster and lineup, scores everyone with your league's exact settings, and tells you who should be starting and how many points you're leaving on the bench.
- ✓Follows your league's slots: FLEX, superflex, W/R, W/T
- ✓Specific moves, paired with the player each one replaces
- ✓Flags starters who are out, doubtful, or on bye
- ✓Your best lineup side by side with the one you set
Built on the injury report, not just the box score
Sleeper statuses and official practice reports flow into every projection. Players who are out get zero and their work goes to teammates. Questionable players are adjusted by how similar players actually produced.
Learned from 2022–2025 injury reports, including the chance a player sits.
Projections in your league's exact scoring
PPR, half, standard, or fully custom: points per catch, TE premium, six-point passing TDs, interception and fumble penalties. Set it once and every projection, range, and start/sit call follows.
Connected Sleeper leagues import scoring automatically.
We grade ourselves in public
Every week we score our projections against what actually happened, and against a simple benchmark: each player's average so far this season. Through Week 8 we've been closer in five of six weeks. Week 8 was a dead heat, and the benchmark edged us on start/sit. Those weeks stay on the chart too.
Average miss per player, by week
PPR points, lower is better · 2026 season, graded after each week
Weeks 3–8: 5.95 average miss vs 6.52 for the benchmark across 1,097 player-weeks.
Start/sit calls right, by week
Same-position pairs, both projected 8+ points · won 5 of 6 weeks
Before launch: 2022–2025 backtest
Show the numbers
| Week | StatSnap miss | Benchmark miss | StatSnap start/sit | Benchmark start/sit | Players graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 5.51 | 6.55 | 65.6% | 57.6% | 206 |
| 4 | 5.94 | 6.87 | 58.7% | 54.6% | 198 |
| 5 | 6.42 | 6.97 | 63.1% | 60.4% | 183 |
| 6 | 5.68 | 6.01 | 57.7% | 55.7% | 180 |
| 7 | 5.79 | 6.20 | 61.1% | 57.6% | 167 |
| 8 | 6.43 | 6.42 | 59.6% | 60.5% | 163 |
Plus everything to build your season
The draft and roster tools that started StatSnap are all still here.
Draft Board
Drag to reorder, tag players Mine or Gone live, and get pick recommendations that weigh scarcity against value.
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Season Rankings & ADP
WORP tiers show where the real cliffs are. The Value column shows where ESPN ADP disagrees with the model.
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Injury & Bust Risk
Two separate 0 to 10 scores for every player: availability over three seasons, and how speculative the projection is.
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Season Projections
Build every team from plays up: pass rate, TDs, and each player’s share, with points updating live.
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Mock Draft
Practice against ADP in a live draft room before the real thing.
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Trade Analyzer
League mode pulls from actual Sleeper rosters for an instant verdict.
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Waiver Wire
Free agents in your Sleeper league ranked by how much they would add to your lineup this week and rest of season.
Matchups
Every game this week with Vegas lines, implied team totals, and the players each line helps or hurts.
Why we built this
Championships aren't luck.
They're a thousand small edges.
The managers who win every year aren't psychic. They make slightly better calls, slightly more often, and never leave points on the bench. That's a skill. We built StatSnap so you can practice it every week.
Know the range
An average hides the story. See every player’s floor, ceiling, and boom/bust odds before you lock him in.
Make the close call
When it’s 50/50 in your head, it’s 61/39 in ten thousand simulations. Trust the math, not the gut.
Leave nothing on the bench
One forgotten injury tag can cost a week. Lineup Check catches it before kickoff, every time.
How it works
Connect your league
Enter your Sleeper username. Your roster, lineup slots, and scoring import in seconds.
Check this week
Weekly projections with ranges, updated for injuries and Vegas lines before every slate.
Set your lineup
Lineup Check finds points on your bench. Start/Sit settles the close calls.
Win the week.
Then win the league.
Connect your Sleeper league and see who should be in your lineup this week.
$9.99/year after launch · Less than a beer at the bar. For the whole season.